Premier League Betting Preview
Updated Thursday, 26th February 2009
We take a look at the forthcoming Premier League games, crunch the stats and offer a few betting predictions to hopefully help earn you a few quid down at the bookies...
Although Middlesbrough have struggled for victories at the Riverside, they have lost just two of their last nine at home. Boro have also gone W5-D6-L2 when hosting any of the Big Four since the beginning of the 2005/06 campaign. Considering Liverpool have won just 23% of their last 22 away games following a midweek Champions League match, backing the draw or laying Liverpool are strong options.
Based on the evidence of one game, Chelsea have gone back to the future under Guus Hiddink suggesting few goals at Stamford Bridge. 60% (9/15) of Chelsea's home matches against top-half opponents back to '06/07 have settled the -1.5 goals market, the same is true for Wigan's last six away games.
Fulham have shown a lack of ambition away from home this season evidenced by their W0-D6-L7 record and a goals for tally of three; the Cottagers have failed to score in 10 of their last 12 away. Arsenal have now kept four consecutive home clean sheets and with Gallas and Toure returning to fitness should be backed here to win to nil.
Everton should be another team that can win to nil when they host bottom-of-the-rung West Brom. The Toffees have W11-D2-L1 when hosting bottom-half sides since the start of last season, with 8/11 wins to nil. WBA have lost 10 of 13 away trips and failed to score in eight.
Aston Villa could not have hoped for more complicit opponents to get back on the winning track. Stoke are the worst away side in the Premier League — W0-D3-L10 since gaining promotion — suffering seven L/Ls in 13 on the road. Aston Villa have been up at half-time in six of their last 10 games when hosting bottom-six sides and have won all those matches.
Bolton have been level in the opening half of seven of their last 10 when hosting bottom-half sides whilst the same is true in 64% (7/11) of Newcastle's visits to middle-third opposition.
Hull City are falling faster than shares in RBS as they host Blackburn, who are still crawling their way up. Hull may be winless in five at home, but they have drawn the opening half in six of their last 10 at the KC Stadium. Blackburn are struggling, W0-D4-L5 in their last nine on the road but they have been level at half-time in 17/29 of their recent away fixtures.
West Ham have gone into the break level in seven of their last nine home matches (78%), of which six of were 0-0. Manchester City have drawn the first half in 70% (7/10) of their recent away games, five of these which were 0-0.